Probabilistic flow and water-level forecasts – communication strategies and potential uses for inland navigation (HyWa) – 2014

Hydrology and Water Resources Management (Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung, 58. Jahrgang, Heft 2, April 2014)

A central aspect many forecast centres are concerned with, is finding an adequate way of communicating the calculated uncertainties. This might be one of the main reasons for the prevailing reluctance to publish probabilistic forecasts. Only if we succeed in transforming the undisputed theoretical advantage of probabilistic forecasts into practical use, establishing probabilistical forecasts will go beyond being a purely academic exercise.